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Glossary · math

Inverse gambler's fallacy

Concluding from one unusual result that many tries must have come before it.

In context

Eight redsbetRedEven-money bet on the 18 red numbers. French: rouge.Read full → in a row are as likely in the first eight spins of the night as in any later eight: (18/37)⁸ ≈ 0.31% each time.

Did you know

The philosopher Ian Hacking named it in 1987, with dice: a double six tells you nothing about how long the game has been going.

Related terms

MathematicsGambler's Fallacy
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